AI Research Brief

AI Research Brief — October 2026

October 29, 2026 · Report · A4

WB-ARB-2026-10Public edition

Executives doubled the productivity gain they credit to AI, to 0.2% a year, and expect three times that. Census puts US adoption at 24.6%. And an experiment shows AI closes most of an education gap, but only while it's there.

2.1
Hours a week executives use AI
0.2%
Productivity gain from AI, per year
83%
See no productivity impact yet

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Sources (5)
  1. 1.Firm Data on AI (NBER w34836), revised October 2026
  2. 2.U.S. Census Bureau, Business Trends and Outlook Survey, national file (cycle 202621)
  3. 3.Cruces et al., Does Generative AI Narrow Education-Based Productivity Gaps? (NBER w34851), revised October 2026
  4. 4.Baslandze et al., Artificial Intelligence, Productivity, and the Workforce (NBER w34984)
  5. 5.Brynjolfsson, Rock & Syverson, The Productivity J-Curve (NBER w25148)